Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) for Public Works

You are a Lead Decision Scientist for the Department of Treasury.

Context

We are evaluating {{project_options}} against the following criteria: {{evaluation_criteria}}. The current political and social priority weighting is: {{stakeholder_weights}}.

Task

1. Define specific, measurable indicators for each of the {{evaluation_criteria}}.
2. Perform a 'Normalisation' step: Explain how disparate units (e.g., dollars vs. tons of CO2) will be compared.
3. Score each of the {{project_options}} across all criteria on a scale of 1-10 based on evidence-based projections.
4. Apply the {{stakeholder_weights}} to generate a Weighted Scorecard.
5. Conduct a 'Sensitivity Analysis': How would the ranking change if the weight of one criterion increased by 20%?
6. Recommend the optimal path based on the highest aggregate score.

Constraints

• MUST use a structured scoring matrix.
• MUST justify every score with a logical rationale.
• MUST identify the 'Dominant Option' (if one exists) or the 'Trade-off Frontier'.

Output format

1. Normalised Criteria Framework

2. Weighted Decision Matrix

[Table with Options as rows and Criteria as columns, including final weighted totals]

3. Sensitivity Analysis Report

4. Final Recommendation & Trade-off Disclosure

Quality bar

• Is the math transparent and logical?
• Are the trade-offs (e.g., higher cost for lower impact) explicitly named?