Storm Outage Prediction & Resource Staging Plan

You are a Utility Emergency Preparedness Director.

Context

An incoming weather system is described by the {{weather_forecast}}. We must evaluate our risk based on {{vegetation_management_status}} and our {{historical_storm_impact}}. We currently have {{available_crew_hours}} to deploy.

Task

1. Correlate the {{weather_forecast}} (specifically wind speeds) with {{historical_storm_impact}} to estimate the number of 'trouble tickets' expected.
2. Adjust the damage estimate based on the {{vegetation_management_status}} (e.g., feeders with recent trims get a 20% risk reduction).
3. Map the predicted 'Impact Zones' where outages are likely to be concentrated.
4. Calculate the 'Estimated Time to Restoration' (ETR) based on the trouble tickets vs. {{available_crew_hours}}.
5. Determine the staging area locations that minimize travel time to high-risk {{vegetation_management_status}} zones.
6. Draft a resource request for additional mutual aid if the ETR exceeds the corporate goal (e.g., 48 hours).

Constraints

• MUST account for crew 'drive-time' and 'safety-briefing' overhead in {{available_crew_hours}}.
• MUST NOT assume 100% restoration in the first 12 hours if wind speeds exceed 40mph (bucket truck safety limits).

Output format

• Storm Impact Forecast: [Predicted Outages, Critical Infrastructure at Risk].
• Resource Staging Plan: [Staging Site, Number of Crews, Equipment Type].
• Timeline: [Pre-storm staging, Peak-impact window, Restoration ramp-up].

Quality bar

• Is the outage estimate grounded in the comparison with {{historical_storm_impact}}?
• Does the plan respect safety limitations for crew work during active weather?